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UDK: 657.1.011.56.002(07)

2013. - V. 27. - N 9(149). - P. 98-102

Pavel Vitalyevich Pyrov, Oleg Borisovich Butusov, Olga Pavlovna Nikiforova,

Analytical view of a demographic processes in Russia: birth rate prospects

The current demographic situation both globally and in Russia is analyzed. A model of demographic flows has been created and relevant formula have been obtained. The main components of the on-going natality crisis have been defined and improvement measures suggested.

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First page of the article:

АНАЛИТИЧЕСКИЙ ВЗГЛЯД НА ДЕМОГРАФИЧЕСКИЕ ПРОЦЕССЫ В РОССИИ: ПЕРСПЕКТИВЫ РОЖДАЕМОСТИ

References

  1. Pyrov P.V., Butusov O.B. Matematicheskoe i kompyuternoe modelirovanie migracionnyh processov // Dinamika neodnorodnyh sistem. _ M.: Institut sistemnogo analiza RAN, 2010. _ t.50(1). _ S.219-222.
  2. Pavlovskiy Yu. N. Modelirovanie, dekompoziciya i optimizaciya slozhnyh dinamicheskih processov // Dinamika neodnorodnyh sistem. _ M.: Institut sistemnogo analiza RAN, 2009. _ S.139.
  3. Belotelov N. V., Brodskiy Yu. I., Pavlovskiy Yu. N. Slozhnost. Matematicheskoe modelirovanie. Gumanitarnyy analiz: Issledovanie istoricheskih, voennyh, socialno-ekonomicheskih i politicheskih processov // Dinamika neodnorodnyh sistem. _ M.: Institut sistemnogo analiza RAN, 2009. _ S.320.
  4. Ketkov Yu., Ketkov A., Shulc M. Programmirovanie, chislennye metody, SPb.: LGU, 2000. _ 450 s.

Keywords

demographic processes   Simulation   демографические процессы   компьютерное моделирование. Mathematical modeling   Математическое моделирование  


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